Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
