Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
