Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.25% ( -2.53) | 25.39% ( -0.25) | 39.36% ( 2.78) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.42% ( 1.01) | 47.58% ( -1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( 0.93) | 69.78% ( -0.93) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( -0.95) | 26.15% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( -1.3) | 61.22% ( 1.3) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( 1.97) | 23.89% ( -1.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 2.74) | 58.09% ( -2.74) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.36% |
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