Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
-0.6) 
0.2) 
