Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
