Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
