SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 43.94% | 28.69% | 27.37% |
| Both teams to score 43.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.47% | 62.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.87% | 82.13% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.9% | 64.1% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% | 39.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 14.1% 2-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 8.26% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.61% Total : 43.94% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.37% |
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