Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 43.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
