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League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
NC

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Newport

Ferguson (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baker-Richardson (32'), Telford (90+3')
Cooper (60'), Demetriou (62'), Upson (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
37.23%26.05%36.71%
Both teams to score 54.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59%50.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66%72.34%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66%26.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53%61.46%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37%26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14%61.86%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 37.23%
    Newport County 36.71%
    Draw 26.05%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 9.28%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.71%

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