Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 82.51%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 6.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.66%), while for a Liverpool Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.