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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
Vale Park

Port Vale
5 - 0
Liverpool U21s

Lloyd (15'), Politic (26'), Benning (51'), Martin (63'), Taylor (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 82.51%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 6.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.66%), while for a Liverpool Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawLiverpool Under-21s
82.51%10.85%6.64%
Both teams to score 56.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.75%22.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.74%41.26%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.06%3.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.3%16.7%
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41%41.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.93%78.07%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 82.51%
    Liverpool Under-21s 6.64%
    Draw 10.85%
Port ValeDrawLiverpool Under-21s
3-0 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 7.48%
4-1 @ 6.57%
1-0 @ 5.31%
5-0 @ 4.84%
5-1 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-2 @ 2.88%
6-0 @ 2.61%
6-1 @ 2.29%
5-2 @ 1.86%
7-0 @ 1.21%
7-1 @ 1.06%
6-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 82.51%
1-1 @ 4.66%
2-2 @ 3.3%
0-0 @ 1.64%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 10.85%
1-2 @ 2.04%
0-1 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 6.64%

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