Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.