Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.