Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
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