Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Walsall in this match.
-0.1) 
0.04) 
