Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.44%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
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