Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
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