Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 25.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
