Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
