Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
