Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 64.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.
0.05) 
-0.04) 
