Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.12) 
