Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
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