Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
0.36) 
-0.39) 
