Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
