Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.