SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Sunderland |
| 13.34% | 20.09% | 66.58% |
| Both teams to score 46.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% | 46.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% | 69.2% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.93% | 46.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.22% | 81.78% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.81% | 13.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.08% | 39.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 4.71% 2-1 @ 3.7% 2-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 0.97% 3-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.18% Total : 13.34% | 1-1 @ 9.54% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.09% | 0-2 @ 12.46% 0-1 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-4 @ 4.26% 1-4 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-5 @ 1.73% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.76% Total : 66.57% |
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