Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.31%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
