Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
