Swindon
1 - 2
Carlisle

Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Carlisle United
21.04%	24.3%	54.66%

Both teams to score 49.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.28%

51.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.51%

73.49%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.75%

39.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.04%

75.96%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.17%

18.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.73%

50.27%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 21.04%

Carlisle United 54.65%

Draw 24.3%

Swindon Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.04%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 12.33% 0-2 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 5.36% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.65%