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League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
MT

Swindon
1 - 0
Mansfield

Simpson (59')
Kesler (75'), Odimayo (88'), McKirdy (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Clarke (37')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawMansfield Town
27.29%28.29%44.42%
Both teams to score 44.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68%61.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77%81.23%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16%38.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42%75.57%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47%27.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97%63.03%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 27.29%
    Mansfield Town 44.41%
    Draw 28.29%
Swindon TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 6.17%
2-0 @ 4.78%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-0 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 27.29%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 13.79%
0-2 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-3 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 44.41%

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