Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
-4.68) 
0.83) 
