Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Stockport County | 4 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Swindon Town | 4 | -3 | 3 |
20 | Gillingham | 4 | -6 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
22 | Crawley Town | 4 | -3 | 1 |
23 | Newport County | 4 | -4 | 1 |
24 | Rochdale | 4 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Rochdale |
51.45% ( 3.91) | 25.12% ( -0.78) | 23.42% ( -3.13) |
Both teams to score 49.84% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% ( 0.64) | 52.52% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% ( 0.54) | 74.19% ( -0.54) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.58% ( 1.95) | 20.42% ( -1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.14% ( 3) | 52.85% ( -3) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.62% ( -2.39) | 37.38% ( 2.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.84% ( -2.43) | 74.16% ( 2.43) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.62% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.71) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.62) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.43% |
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