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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Wetherby Road
FG

Harrogate
1 - 4
Forest Green

Kerry (57')
Falkingham (37'), Kerry (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aitchison (21'), Cadden (26'), Matt (45'), Stevens (73')

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Forest Green Rovers

Two of the highest scoring teams in the division competing against each other should result in an exciting midweek encounter between two sides hoping for promotion. Each are in good confidence, but Forest Green Rovers should have the attacking qualities to just edge this particular fixture in order to keep their dominance at the top of the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawForest Green Rovers
24.99%25.22%49.78%
Both teams to score 51.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39%51.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6%73.4%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53%35.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77%72.23%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25%20.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62%53.38%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 24.99%
    Forest Green Rovers 49.78%
    Draw 25.22%
Harrogate TownDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 7.63%
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 3.95%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.69%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24.99%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 7.36%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 11.57%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-2 @ 9.1%
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.77%
2-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 49.78%

Read more!
Read more!


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