Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
