Swindon
1 - 2
Port Vale

Simpson (49')
Payne (13'), Simpson (45+4'), Gilbert (55'), Parsons (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garrity (22', 81')
Jones (27')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Port Vale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
31.71%	27.44%	40.85%

Both teams to score 48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3%

56.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.34%

77.65%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06%

32.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.49%

69.51%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74%

27.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3%

62.69%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 31.71%

Port Vale 40.84%

Draw 27.44%

Swindon Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.71%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.84%