Tranmere have made a habit out of drawing games that they need to win in recent matches, and they have also struggled for goals. With Wimbledon only winning twice on their travels this season, it is likely that the spoils are shared in a low-scoring contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.14) 
