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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
TR

Morecambe
1 - 0
Tranmere

Turnbull (72' og.)
Bedeau (63'), Major (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendry (45'), Jennings (45+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 2-0 Tranmere Rovers

The home side still have work to do when it comes to closing out a game, but they are in fine attacking form right now, while Tranmere have struggled to maintain their composure away from home with a red card in consecutive domestic road fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morecambe in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morecambe.

Result
MorecambeDrawTranmere Rovers
42.64% (-0.052 -0.05) 26.16% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 31.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (-0.195 -0.2)51.84% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (-0.168 -0.17)73.6% (0.167 0.17)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.11 -0.11)24.11% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (-0.157 -0.16)58.41% (0.156 0.16)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)30.8% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.112 -0.11)67.07% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 42.64%
    Tranmere Rovers 31.2%
    Draw 26.16%
MorecambeDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.64%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sutton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 3-1 Barrow
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 1-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Doncaster
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Tranmere
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Tranmere
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two


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