Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.