SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
56.36% ( 1.58) | 23.29% ( -0.36) | 20.34% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( 0.05) | 48.5% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( 0.05) | 70.63% ( -0.04) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( 0.59) | 17.01% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% ( 1.03) | 47.14% ( -1.03) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% ( -1.19) | 38.14% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.09% ( -1.17) | 74.9% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.97% Total : 56.35% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14)Other @ 1% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.53% Total : 20.34% |
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