SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Walsall | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
42.16% ( -0.07) | 26.08% ( 0.01) | 31.75% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -0.04) | 51.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.04) | 73.17% ( 0.04) |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.05) | 24.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.56% ( -0.08) | 58.44% ( 0.08) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% ( 0.02) | 30.17% ( -0.01) |
