Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.