SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
28.54% ( 0.32) | 25.85% ( 0.2) | 45.61% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% ( -0.66) | 51.78% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.45% ( -0.57) | 73.55% ( 0.57) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( -0.1) | 32.7% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( -0.11) | 69.25% ( 0.11) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( -0.52) | 22.66% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.7% ( -0.78) | 56.3% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 11% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 45.61% |
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