SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
37.78% ( -0.38) | 25.41% ( 0.09) | 36.81% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( -0.41) | 47.55% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -0.39) | 69.76% ( 0.39) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( -0.39) | 24.71% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -0.55) | 59.25% ( 0.56) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( -0.03) | 25.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( -0.04) | 60% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 36.81% |
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