Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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