Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Boreham Wood |
70.26% ( 4.09) | 17.92% ( -1.29) | 11.83% ( -2.8) |
Both teams to score 49.49% ( -3.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.04% ( -0.76) | 40.95% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.66% ( -0.78) | 63.34% ( 0.78) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.53% ( 0.84) | 10.47% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.91% ( 1.87) | 34.09% ( -1.87) |
Boreham Wood Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.27% ( -4.75) | 44.72% ( 4.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.28% ( -4.09) | 80.71% ( 4.08) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Boreham Wood |
2-0 @ 11.92% ( 1.19) 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 8.97% ( 1.17) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.81) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.38) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.43) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) Other @ 4.19% Total : 70.25% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.65) Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.92% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.72) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.17% Total : 11.83% |
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