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National League | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
BW

Wrexham
3 - 1
Boreham Wood

Lee (15'), Mullin (52', 71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ndlovu (1')
Ilesanmi (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 70.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Boreham Wood win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
70.26% (4.088 4.09) 17.92% (-1.293 -1.29) 11.83% (-2.795 -2.8)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-3.745 -3.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-0.758 -0.76)40.95% (0.758 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (-0.778 -0.78)63.34% (0.777 0.78)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.53% (0.842 0.84)10.47% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.91% (1.871 1.87)34.09% (-1.871 -1.87)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-4.749 -4.75)44.72% (4.748 4.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.28% (-4.085 -4.09)80.71% (4.084 4.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 70.25%
    Boreham Wood 11.83%
    Draw 17.92%
WrexhamDrawBoreham Wood
2-0 @ 11.92% (1.19 1.19)
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.706 0.71)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-0 @ 8.97% (1.169 1.17)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.065 0.07)
4-0 @ 5.06% (0.81 0.81)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.375 -0.38)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.432 0.43)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.139 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 70.25%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.654 -0.65)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.722 -0.72)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.386 -0.39)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 11.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, April 15 at 12.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-2 Notts County
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Wrexham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 5-1 Oldham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Boreham Wood
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Dag & Red
Friday, April 7 at 5pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 0-4 Boreham Wood
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League


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