SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Wrexham had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Wrexham win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Wrexham |
69.92% ( -4.22) | 17.58% ( 1.96) | 12.5% ( 2.26) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.48% ( -3.15) | 37.52% ( 3.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.25% ( -3.46) | 59.75% ( 3.46) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.37% ( -1.73) | 9.63% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.83% ( -4.22) | 32.17% ( 4.22) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% ( 1.75) | 41.37% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.12% ( 1.51) | 77.88% ( -1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.4)1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.68)3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.77)3-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.3)4-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.91)4-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.56)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.66)5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.46)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.15)6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.36)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.2% Total : 69.92% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.96) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.37)0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.58)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.58% | 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.57) 0-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.5% |
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