Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
