SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
45.21% ( 5.95) | 25.62% ( -0.95) | 29.18% ( -5) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( 2.28) | 50.48% ( -2.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( 1.98) | 72.41% ( -1.98) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( 4) | 22.3% ( -4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( 5.66) | 55.76% ( -5.66) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( -2.25) | 31.55% ( 2.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( -2.68) | 67.94% ( 2.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.7)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 1.05)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.82)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.9)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.46)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.47)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.67)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -1.34) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.73)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -1.12)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.47)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.58)Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.18% |
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