SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
46.74% ( -0.14) | 25.1% ( 0.04) | 28.16% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( -0.13) | 48.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% ( -0.11) | 70.98% ( 0.11) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.11) | 20.95% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( -0.18) | 53.69% ( 0.17) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.52% ( 0) | 31.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( 0.01) | 67.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.16% |
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