SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
26.71% ( -0.05) | 25.63% ( 0.1) | 47.65% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% ( -0.44) | 52% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% ( -0.38) | 73.74% ( 0.38) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( -0.27) | 34.25% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( -0.29) | 70.94% ( 0.29) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( -0.21) | 21.83% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.95% ( -0.31) | 55.05% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.71% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.65% |
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