Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11

Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
2 - 4
Aberdeen

Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 3-3 Ross County
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Motherwell 2-1 Aberdeen

Both teams are in desperate need of three points right now, and that is something that they will each want to fix in midweek. Motherwell have showcased strong attacking qualities in home fixture throughout the campaign and that in itself should give them the edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Aberdeen
46.35% ( 0.14)	25.07% ( -0.03)	28.58% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 54.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49% (

0.04)

48.5% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

0.03)

70.63% (

-0.04)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

0.07)

20.96% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

0.12)

53.71% (

-0.13)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

-0.07)

30.96% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.74% (

-0.08)

67.26% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 46.34%

Aberdeen 28.58%

Draw 25.06%

Motherwell	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.34%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.58%