SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Ross County |
61.25% ( 0.16) | 20.9% ( -0.05) | 17.84% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.05) | 41.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( 0.05) | 64.18% ( -0.05) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.84% ( 0.06) | 13.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.15% ( 0.13) | 39.85% ( -0.13) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0.1) | 36.93% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% ( -0.1) | 73.72% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Ross County |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 17.84% |
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